Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal.

Victory through harmony.

Islington, London, England

Season Progress

Premier League Title Prediction26.8%
Now 26.8%+0.3 pp

Ceiling Profile

Classic Position: 2nd (5-0-1)

Ceiling Position2nd
Max Points111
Max TierPremier League Title

Form

WWWLW

Oldest → Latest

Points Runway

Earned
15
Available
96
Dropped
3

Path Profile

Selected Race

Premier League Title

Finish 1st
StatusAlive
Path Share14.8%
footyceiling Prediction26.8%

All Races

Recent Movement

After those matches · Including MW6 · Arsenal 2–1 Leeds

Arsenal’s Premier League Title forecast weakened after those matches

Before those matches → After those matches

Path Share12.7% 16.2%+3.5 percentage points
Prediction32.0% 26.5%−5.5 percentage points

After those matches, Arsenal’s Premier League Title Prediction fell from 32.0% to 26.5%.

Fixtures

All fixtures
Next fixtureMW7 · Sunday, October 18 · 10:30 AM CT

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Nottingham Forest
What’s at Stake

Forest are 7 points behind Liverpool, who currently occupy the Europa League place. A win would cut that deficit to 4 points. This compares current points totals; other results and goal difference still determine positions.

footyceiling Prediction
Europa League3.8%
Arsenal
What’s at Stake

Arsenal are 6 points behind City, who currently top the official table. A win would cut that deficit to 3 points. This compares current points totals; other results and goal difference still determine positions.

footyceiling Prediction
Premier League Title26.8%
Last resultMW6 · Saturday, October 10 · 6:30 AM CT

Arsenal vs Leeds

After those matches · Including MW6 · Arsenal 2–1 Leeds

Arsenal
Match Outcome

Arsenal’s Premier League Title forecast weakened after those matches; the weighted forecast remained below even for the Premier League title.

footyceiling Results
  • Premier League Title prediction
    Before: 32.0%After: 26.5%−5.5pp
  • Premier League Title Path Share
    Before: 12.7%After: 16.2%+3.5pp

    Arsenal’s Premier League Title Path Share increased after those matches; only a minority of remaining result paths reached the Premier League title.

  • Max Points
    Before: 111After: 111
Leeds
Match Outcome

Leeds’ Champions League Path Share decreased after those matches; only a minority of remaining result paths still reached a top-four finish.

footyceiling Results
  • Champions League prediction
    Before: 20.3%After: 18.9%−1.4pp
  • Champions League Path Share
    Before: 26.9%After: 20.1%−6.8pp
  • Max Points
    Before: 108After: 105-3

    Leeds’ maximum points total fell by 3 points after those matches.