Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle United.

Howay the lads.

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Around the Grounds

Club News

  • Newcastle lost 1–0 at home to Aston Villa. Sky Sports reported that Newcastle had gone 16 successive games in all competitions without a clean sheet.

Season Progress

Safety Prediction79.3%
MW7 79.3%−6.5 pp

Lost 0–1 against Aston Villa

Ceiling Profile

Classic Position: 11th (2-2-3)

Ceiling Position14th
Max Points101
Max TierPremier League Title

Form

DLWLL

Oldest → Latest

Points Runway

Earned
8
Available
93
Dropped
13

Path Profile

Selected Race

Safety

Finish 17th or higher
StatusAlive
Path Share84.0%
footyceiling Prediction79.3%

All Races

Recent Movement

MW7 · After Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa

Newcastle’s survival forecast weakened after the defeat

Before the match → After the match

Path Share87.9% 84.0%−3.9 percentage points
Prediction85.0% 79.3%−5.7 percentage points

Following the 0–1 defeat, Newcastle’s Safety Prediction fell from 85.0% to 79.3%.

Fixtures

All fixtures
Next fixtureMW8 · Sunday, October 25 · 9:00 AM CT
Crystal Palace
Newcastle

Match insights will appear when this matchweek becomes current.

Last resultMW7 · Saturday, October 17 · 11:30 AM CT

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

MW7 · After Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa

Newcastle
Match Outcome

Newcastle’s survival forecast weakened after the match; the weighted forecast still favored safety.

footyceiling Results
  • Safety prediction
    Before: 85.0%After: 79.3%−5.7pp
  • Safety Path Share
    Before: 87.9%After: 84.0%−3.9pp

    Newcastle’s Safety Path Share decreased after the match; a majority of remaining result paths still reached safety.

  • Max Points
    Before: 104After: 101-3

    Newcastle’s maximum points total fell by 3 points after the match.

Aston Villa
Match Outcome

Villa’s Champions League Path Share increased after the match; only a minority of remaining result paths reached a top-four finish.

footyceiling Results
  • Champions League prediction
    Before: 4.0%After: 5.9%+1.9pp

    Villa’s Champions League forecast improved after the match; the weighted forecast still did not favor a top-four finish.

  • Champions League Path Share
    Before: 8.2%After: 12.0%+3.8pp
  • Max Points
    Before: 101After: 101