Manchester City
62.8%Prediction
Path Share 37.4%
Premier League2026/27
Paths.
What is still possible — and what footyceiling thinks will happen.
Paths by club and race
Premier League Title · 20 Alive
Arsenal
26.8%Prediction
Path Share 14.8%
Brighton
8.4%Prediction
Path Share 9.6%
Alive
Path Share37.4%
footyceiling Prediction62.8%
Alive
Path Share14.8%
footyceiling Prediction26.8%
Alive
Path Share9.6%
footyceiling Prediction8.4%
Alive
Path Share5.1%
footyceiling Prediction0.5%
Alive
Path Share6.8%
footyceiling Prediction0.5%
Alive
Path Share1.5%
footyceiling Prediction0.4%
Alive
Path Share3.0%
footyceiling Prediction0.4%
Alive
Path Share3.6%
footyceiling Prediction0.2%
Alive
Path Share1.6%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share0.6%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share1.1%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share1.5%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share2.3%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share3.1%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share0.7%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share2.3%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share1.8%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share1.9%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share0.7%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
Alive
Path Share0.6%
footyceiling Prediction<0.1%
How Paths Work
Race Status
Can it still happen?
Checks whether the remaining fixtures allow a route to this finish, rule it out, or guarantee it.
ClinchedAliveEliminatedUnresolved
Path Share
How many remaining result combinations lead there?
Every win, draw and loss counts equally. Path Share shows the share of those combinations that reaches the selected finish.
W ⅓D ⅓L ⅓
Prediction
How likely is that finish?
footyceiling estimates each result using club strength shaped by recent form, opponent quality and home advantage.
Path Share: Estimated · 50,000 sampled seasons · ±0.44 pp · footyceiling Prediction: Estimated · 50,000 sampled seasons · ±0.44 pp
Full Methodology →