Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United.

Marching on together.

Leeds, West Yorkshire, England

Season Progress

Champions League Prediction15.9%
Now 15.9%−3.0 pp

Ceiling Profile

Classic Position: 8th (2-3-1)

Ceiling Position6th
Max Points105
Max TierPremier League Title

Form

DDWDL

Oldest → Latest

Leeds have drawn at least half their league matches. 3 draws from 6 matches, alongside 2 wins.

Points Runway

Earned
9
Available
96
Dropped
9

Path Profile

Selected Race

Champions League

Finish 1st–4th
StatusAlive
Path Share20.0%
footyceiling Prediction15.9%

Leeds remain in the race for a top-four finish, with a 15.9% chance of finishing in the top four in footyceiling's forecast.

All Races

Recent Movement

After those matches · Including MW6 · Arsenal 2–1 Leeds

Leeds's Champions League outlook was broadly unchanged after those matches

Before those matches → After those matches

Path Share26.9% 20.1%−6.8 percentage points
Prediction20.3% 18.9%−1.4 percentage points

Leeds's Champions League outlook was broadly unchanged after those matches.

Fixtures

All fixtures
Next fixtureMW7 · Sunday, October 18 · 8:00 AM CT

Leeds vs Manchester United

Leeds
What’s at Stake

A defeat would bring United level with Leeds on 9 points. A win would stretch Leeds's three-point advantage to six.

footyceiling Prediction
Champions League15.9%
Manchester United
What’s at Stake

A win would bring United level with Leeds on 9 points.

footyceiling Prediction
Champions League24.6%
Last resultMW6 · Saturday, October 10 · 6:30 AM CT

Arsenal vs Leeds

After those matches · Including MW6 · Arsenal 2–1 Leeds

Arsenal
Match Outcome

Arsenal’s Premier League Title forecast weakened after those matches; the weighted forecast remained below even for the Premier League title.

footyceiling Results
  • Premier League Title prediction
    Before: 32.0%After: 26.5%−5.5pp
  • Premier League Title Path Share
    Before: 12.7%After: 16.2%+3.5pp

    Arsenal’s Premier League Title Path Share increased after those matches; only a minority of remaining result paths reached the Premier League title.

  • Max Points
    Before: 111After: 111
Leeds
Match Outcome

Leeds’ Champions League Path Share decreased after those matches; only a minority of remaining result paths still reached a top-four finish.

footyceiling Results
  • Champions League prediction
    Before: 20.3%After: 18.9%−1.4pp
  • Champions League Path Share
    Before: 26.9%After: 20.1%−6.8pp
  • Max Points
    Before: 108After: 105-3

    Leeds’ maximum points total fell by 3 points after those matches.