Premier League 2026/27

AFC Bournemouth.

Together, anything is possible.

Bournemouth, Dorset, England

Season Progress

Safety Prediction90.0%
Now 90.0%+2.1 pp

Ceiling Profile

Classic Position: 19th (0-3-3)

Ceiling Position18th
Max Points99
Max TierPremier League Title

Form

DDDLL

Oldest → Latest

Bournemouth are still waiting for their first league win. 3 draws and 3 defeats from 6 league matches.

Points Runway

Earned
3
Available
96
Dropped
15

Path Profile

Selected Race

Safety

Finish 17th or higher
StatusAlive
Path Share67.4%
footyceiling Prediction90.0%

All Races

Recent Movement

After those matches · Including MW6 · Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

Bournemouth’s survival forecast weakened after those matches

Before those matches → After those matches

Path Share73.7% 67.9%−5.8 percentage points
Prediction97.0% 87.9%−9.1 percentage points

After those matches, Bournemouth’s Safety Prediction fell from 97.0% to 87.9%.

Fixtures

All fixtures
Next fixtureMW7 · Sunday, October 18 · 8:00 AM CT

Bournemouth vs Sunderland

Bournemouth
What’s at Stake

Bournemouth have gone six league games without a win. Sunderland are their next chance to end that start.

footyceiling Prediction
Safety90.0%
Sunderland
What’s at Stake

A defeat would let Bournemouth move ahead on points. A win would stretch Sunderland's one-point advantage to four.

footyceiling Prediction
Safety70.1%
Last resultMW6 · Saturday, October 10 · 9:00 AM CT

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

After those matches · Including MW6 · Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

Chelsea
Match Outcome

Chelsea’s Champions League forecast improved after those matches; the weighted forecast still did not favor a top-four finish.

footyceiling Results
  • Champions League prediction
    Before: 3.8%After: 13.9%+10.1pp
  • Champions League Path Share
    Before: 18.7%After: 24.3%+5.6pp

    Chelsea’s Champions League Path Share increased after those matches; only a minority of remaining result paths reached a top-four finish.

  • Max Points
    Before: 106After: 106
Bournemouth
Match Outcome

Bournemouth’s survival forecast weakened after those matches; the weighted forecast still favored safety.

footyceiling Results
  • Safety prediction
    Before: 97.0%After: 87.9%−9.1pp
  • Safety Path Share
    Before: 73.7%After: 67.9%−5.8pp

    Bournemouth’s Safety Path Share decreased after those matches; a majority of remaining result paths still reached safety.

  • Max Points
    Before: 102After: 99-3

    Bournemouth’s maximum points total fell by 3 points after those matches.